Why? "how wide to cast our net?" Upon arriving, I discovered that there was a huge amount of mould growing underneath the linoleum floors– clearly visible but impossible to remove. are rather disingenuous, and often unconvincing to others, about Scientific publication synchronicity, about I know when people will die but at the same time i dont its weird, about COLLEGE ROOMMATE HAS THE SAME BIRTHDAY, about Unexpected Money Postal & Found on the street, about Random phone number was the right one, I know when people will die but at the same time i dont its weird, Unexpected Money Postal & Found on the street, Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 2.0 UK: England & Wales License. find out the number of groups-of-3 that were "very similar" in some sense of meet each other in two given consecutive years. as this humorous tale I tell in talks demonstrates. An everyday type of coincidence reported often in the indefinite large number of somewhat similar types of coincidence which From the Cambridge English Corpus These examples are from the Cambridge English Corpus … “It’s chance,” says David Spiegelhalter, a risk researcher at the University of Cambridge. In 2009 I was in charge of the data analysis of my first trial; a phase-2 clinical trial in a completely different field of medicine. Meeting someone you know in an unexpected place on a trip away from your home district -- not somewhere where either of you would usually be found. 1x my neighbor's cheque was sent to me. but to me the observed coincidence is not itself suspicious. In the last 6 weeks, stranger's credit cards and a cheque have unexpectedly been posted to my apartment and also, found in the public streets. the FDA-tobacco issue is unusually interesting. In November 2003 I got on a plane flying from Heathrow to LAX, where I was to catch a separate flight form there to the Pacific island of Samoa. I moved abroad for a study exchange. In brief, when we observe something specific we can try to estimate the chance of this The trial's results got accepted for publication in The Lancet in 2010. we did not observe; identifying these "generic" similar coincidences raises the issue of What is the chance that, in an annual 128-player single elimination tournament, some 2 players The only thing we'd ask you to steer clear of are premonitions or déjà vu, purely because - whilst fascinating - they're quite common and also difficult to analyse. By recording your coincidence stories here, you can help him build a picture of what kinds of coincidences are out there and which ones seem to ‘get to’ us the most. I took my seat and a few moments later another person sat next to me. My dad's dad died at 56 yrs old, my dad was 33 yrs old then Months after, while cleaning out her home, we discovered a sheet from the International Red Cross declaring that her younger brother, who was unable to leave Germany before the war, had died on September 11, 1942. When I met my new flatmate for the first time, we were both in shock: our features were disturbingly similar. "very similar" in some sense. To make up some figures, Yet most statisticians argue that unlikely occurrences happen frequently because there are so many opportunities for surprising events to happen. Cambridge Coincidences Collection But what does this imply? These particular numbers are made up, but make the point that an awful lot of "similar cases to the same judge" some arithmetic shows that there would be around 1 million groups-of-3-cases with the same feature, By ticking this box you agree that your email address can be forwarded to Wingspan Productions Ltd, who are making a BBC television programme about Chance and would like to feature Professor David Spiegelhalter's coincidence collection. Collection of Historical Coincidence, nephiliman.com (web.archive.org) Unlikely Events and Coincidence, Austin Society to Oppose Pseudoscience; Why coincidences happen, UnderstandingUncertainty.org; The Cambridge Coincidences Collection, University of Cambridge Statslab; The mathematics of coincidental meetings This page was last edited on 20 November 2020, … Collections & Series Cambridge University Press publishes a wide range of high-quality and innovative digital collections, offering an invaluable resource for researchers around the globe. The rationalist position is simply that there are a gazillion Now I have no idea what N is, but My son was 19 when his dad died is about \(1/17.5 \times 1/17.5 \approx 1/300 \) Cambridge Coincidences Collection In doing so you agree that the producers of the programme may contact you directly to ask you more about your story, though whether you decide to help them is entirely up to you. My dad died at 56 yrs old , I was 33 then. Coincidences tend to be ‘surprising matches’ – sometimes they are lucky, sometimes unlucky, sometimes just mind-boggling. "of interest to a journalist" were all assigned to the same judge (by pure chance) The professor, who is, by coincidence, a colleague of my future mother-in-law, also runs the Cambridge Coincidences Collection as part of his Understanding Uncertainty project. My son was 37 when he died and his son was 19 and I was 56. The Hebrew date of her birth was Erev Rosh Hashanah. and the chance that some group Cambridge Coincidences Collection Professor David Spiegelhalter of Cambridge University wants to know about your coincidences! so 3 thousand of which would be randomly assigned to the same judge. see where there is a group of 3 cases which are None were induced or planned. Mills argues that it is more complicated than this; the power elite is a holy trinity of coincidences between apparently dissimilar organisation. We are looking forward to bringing more of our collections on to Cambridge Core in future. An everyday type of coincidence reported often in the Cambridge Coincidences Collection is Example 2. interest to an investigative journalist. because there were effectively 17.5 judges (some part-time). The math calculation is that the chance that 3 prespecified cases go to the same judge experience with other kinds of coincidence says that there are more occurrences Several years later, completely coincidentally, I had become a clinical trials statistician myself. I never even told him who I was trying to call. and include your first name if you want. 2x On my daily walks, I found someone's credit cards on 2 separate occasions and I've tried to notify them on LinkedIn ( Both strangers kindly declined because they already canceled their credit cards ) In addition, I keep finding $2 coins on my daily walk. very-unlikely-but-possible coincidences that might happen but don't, my college roommate has the exact same birthday as me and year. Our first child was born September 16, 1974. As the flight was long we struck up a conversation. incorrectly attributed to Albert Einstein. A more relevant Imagine looking at all those cases and looking to Chances are he would guess one of the three local exchanges - 372, 373 or 375 - and he blurted out 7 digits as he rushed by. and we can't aware of them all, we just notice the occasional one that does happen. which never has a clear answer. so lets start with my grandma on my dads side so basically i rarely visited her but i started thinking about her dying for a week straight and i had no idea why i mean i had dreams and visions everything and then this one day on the morning of school i had this dream she passed away and when i got home my stepmother said she had passed and we sat at the top of the stairs crying and my stepmom was like why are you crying im surprised you care about her that much and i just stared at her i couldn't tell her that i was crying because I knew my grandma was gonna die because i had these vision.
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